https://youtu.be/9nUARk6aFE4?t=1 A National Geographic puzzle (described below) that 80% of children can solve flummoxes most adults. As we get older we develop a whole range of skills that allow us to operate more efficiently. The problem is that these optimizations result in blind spots and lowering of creativity. Now, don't get me wrong---the tradeoff is worthwhile. You really don't want a … [Read more...]
Election polling errors blamed on bias
A report has concluded that the spectacular failure of pollsters to predict the result of the 2015 UK Parliamentary elections was largely due to systematic over-representation of Labour voters and under-representation of Conservative voters The report, compiled by a panel of academics and statisticians, was commissioned by the polling industry to determine why they had predicted a … [Read more...]